Podcasts / Videos

JON KUTSMEDA TV

CLIP 1, EPISODE 10: 
In this video I explain how mortgage rates DO NOT rise or fall.

Instead, what actually happens is mortgage rates become either more expensive or cheaper.

This is because mortgage rates, and their price, are derived from specific mortgage bond coupons.

Depending on a number of factors, bond investors will buy or sell certain coupons based on their price and yield (rate).

This liquidity, or capital inflow, to certain bonds is what makes mortgage rates more expensive or cheaper.

Learn more by listening in to this clip from the July 29, 2022 episode of the Mortgage Guru Podcast.


----------------------------------
CONNECT WITH JON
----------------------------------

To request a personalized mortgage consultation from Jon contact him through his website at http://JKUTS.com

You can also follow Jon on twitter at https://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda

or on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/JonKutsmeda

and on all other social media via his handle @JonKutsmeda.

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of the Mortgage Guru, please subscribe to my YouTube channel: 
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

Welcome to the MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST, where your host Jon Kutsmeda covers the topics that matter most to homeowners and real estate investors without the industry jargon.

Each week Jon helps you to look under the hood of the housing market to make sense of the economic factors which drive home prices and mortgage rates so you can make sound financial decisions.

To subscribe to this podcast visit https://www.MortgageGuruPodcast.com



#mortgagerates #refinance #bondmarket

CLIP 1, EPISODE 10:
In this video I explain how mortgage rates DO NOT rise or fall.

Instead, what actually happens is mortgage rates become either more expensive or cheaper.

This is because mortgage rates, and their price, are derived from specific mortgage bond coupons.

Depending on a number of factors, bond investors will buy or sell certain coupons based on their price and yield (rate).

This liquidity, or capital inflow, to certain bonds is what makes mortgage rates more expensive or cheaper.

Learn more by listening in to this clip from the July 29, 2022 episode of the Mortgage Guru Podcast.


----------------------------------
CONNECT WITH JON
----------------------------------

To request a personalized mortgage consultation from Jon contact him through his website at http://JKUTS.com

You can also follow Jon on twitter at https://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda

or on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/JonKutsmeda

and on all other social media via his handle @JonKutsmeda.

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of the Mortgage Guru, please subscribe to my YouTube channel:
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

Welcome to the MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST, where your host Jon Kutsmeda covers the topics that matter most to homeowners and real estate investors without the industry jargon.

Each week Jon helps you to look under the hood of the housing market to make sense of the economic factors which drive home prices and mortgage rates so you can make sound financial decisions.

To subscribe to this podcast visit https://www.MortgageGuruPodcast.com



#mortgagerates #refinance #bondmarket

4 0

YouTube Video VVVQY09fV1pYS1FhMWxGd0NHbHRXYzhBLi1CVS1tcUNfQlI4
EPISODE 10: 
It was a jam-packed week with the FOMC rate decision and the first report on Q2 GDP.

The bond market rallied after the Fed raised the policy rate, the Fed Funds, by 75 basis points.

This brought the 10-year Treasury Bond below the 2.75% resistance level, ending the week right around 2.65%.

The yield curve has been inverted across different parts of the curve for months. This is a very strong predictor of recession and just prior to The Fed announcement the 2-year and the 10-year was inverted more than 30-bps.

Speaking of recession, an advance GDP report on Thursday showed the economy contracted again in quarter 2.

The -0.9% drop marks two consecutive quarters of negative GDP, which is considered an official recession.

After the rate hike announcement and the GDP report the ongoing bond market rally which started a month ago picked up further momentum and as a result mortgage rates dropped to the lowest level in nearly 3-months.

How can mortgage rates drop if the Fed is hiking rates?

Tune in for this week's episode to find out, and to hear an explainer on why mortgage rates do not actually drop but instead lower rates merely become less expensive.?



----------------------
TIMESTAMPS 
----------------------

00:25 - The Fed hikes the Fed Funds by 75 basis points

01:05 - What is the Fed Funds Rate

01:54 - The Fed's dual mandate

02:50 - Did the Fed cause high Inflation

05:35 - The supply chain bull whip effect

06:16 - When the only tool is a hammer (rate hikes)

07:00 - The impact of inflation

09:13 - How the bond market influences mortgage rates

09:59 - The mortgage rate data is lying

11:48 - How mortgage rates rise or fall (HINT: it's not the FED)

14:10 - What is really means to "Pay Points"

15:40 - Stop asking, "what is your rate"?

17:24 - Mortgages do not go up or down, instead they...

19:56 - Inflation as a rate-of-change

22:30 - What the current "risk off" bond rally means for mortgage rates

26:15 - The Fed hiking rates usually results in lower mortgage rates

28:57 - Are we in a recession?

30:30 - Keep a close eye on this piece of data

33:05 - Plan for the future, not for the present

34:41 - In conclusion


----------------------------------
CONNECT WITH JON
----------------------------------

To request a personalized mortgage consultation from Jon contact him through his website at http://JKUTS.com

You can also follow Jon on twitter at https://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda

or on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/JonKutsmeda

and on all other social media via his handle @JonKutsmeda.

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of the Mortgage Guru, please subscribe to my YouTube channel: 
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

Welcome to the MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST, where your host Jon Kutsmeda covers the topics that matter most to homeowners and real estate investors without the industry jargon.

Each week Jon helps you to look under the hood of the housing market to make sense of the economic factors which drive home prices and mortgage rates so you can make sound financial decisions.

To subscribe to this podcast visit https://www.MortgageGuruPodcast.com



#mortgagerates #ratehikes #recession

EPISODE 10:
It was a jam-packed week with the FOMC rate decision and the first report on Q2 GDP.

The bond market rallied after the Fed raised the policy rate, the Fed Funds, by 75 basis points.

This brought the 10-year Treasury Bond below the 2.75% resistance level, ending the week right around 2.65%.

The yield curve has been inverted across different parts of the curve for months. This is a very strong predictor of recession and just prior to The Fed announcement the 2-year and the 10-year was inverted more than 30-bps.

Speaking of recession, an advance GDP report on Thursday showed the economy contracted again in quarter 2.

The -0.9% drop marks two consecutive quarters of negative GDP, which is considered an official recession.

After the rate hike announcement and the GDP report the ongoing bond market rally which started a month ago picked up further momentum and as a result mortgage rates dropped to the lowest level in nearly 3-months.

How can mortgage rates drop if the Fed is hiking rates?

Tune in for this week's episode to find out, and to hear an explainer on why mortgage rates do not actually drop but instead lower rates merely become less expensive.?


----------------------------------
CONNECT WITH JON
----------------------------------

To request a personalized mortgage consultation from Jon contact him through his website at http://JKUTS.com

You can also follow Jon on twitter at https://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda

or on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/JonKutsmeda

and on all other social media via his handle @JonKutsmeda.

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of the Mortgage Guru, please subscribe to my YouTube channel:
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

Welcome to the MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST, where your host Jon Kutsmeda covers the topics that matter most to homeowners and real estate investors without the industry jargon.

Each week Jon helps you to look under the hood of the housing market to make sense of the economic factors which drive home prices and mortgage rates so you can make sound financial decisions.

To subscribe to this podcast visit https://www.MortgageGuruPodcast.com



#mortgagerates #ratehikes #recession

1 0

YouTube Video VVVQY09fV1pYS1FhMWxGd0NHbHRXYzhBLlk2Yl9XTG9Wd0t3
EPISODE 9: 
The June CPI data came in red hot on Wednesday. The Consumer Price Index, a measure of inflation, reported an increase of 9.1%, the highest reading in 41-years.

As a result the Fed is likely to raise their benchmark Fed Funds Rate by 100 basis point (1%) when the FOMC meets July 26-27.

However, the CPI is a lagging indicator and according to forward looking data it appears the Fed will be aggressively hiking into a recession, which will likely deepen the recession and exacerbate its impact.

The market has been sniffing out the likely policy error and in anticipation has push interest rates on long duration bonds lower than short duration bonds; a phenomenon known as an "inverted yield curve".

The most watching yield curve is between the 2-year bond and the 10-year bond, which ended the week 20 basis points (0.20%) inverted, the deepest inversion since the start of the century, even after the near record high inflation data.

Normally, high inflation is bad for bonds, but investors are running for the safety of cash-flow. As a result mortgage rates also declined, as the price of mortgage bonds rallied alongside US Treasuries. 

Will this drop in mortgage rates continue, and will it be enough to keep housing from crashing along with the rest of the economy?


----------------------------------
CONNECT WITH JON
----------------------------------

To request a personalized mortgage consultation from Jon contact him through his website at http://JKUTS.com

You can also follow Jon on twitter at https://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda

or on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/JonKutsmeda

and on all other social media via his handle @JonKutsmeda.

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of the Mortgage Guru, please subscribe to my YouTube channel: 
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

Welcome to the MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST, where your host Jon Kutsmeda covers the topics that matter most to homeowners and real estate investors without the industry jargon.

Each week Jon helps you to look under the hood of the housing market to make sense of the economic factors which drive home prices and mortgage rates so you can make sound financial decisions.

To subscribe to this podcast visit https://www.MortgageGuruPodcast.com



#inflation #recession #housingcrash

EPISODE 9:
The June CPI data came in red hot on Wednesday. The Consumer Price Index, a measure of inflation, reported an increase of 9.1%, the highest reading in 41-years.

As a result the Fed is likely to raise their benchmark Fed Funds Rate by 100 basis point (1%) when the FOMC meets July 26-27.

However, the CPI is a lagging indicator and according to forward looking data it appears the Fed will be aggressively hiking into a recession, which will likely deepen the recession and exacerbate its impact.

The market has been sniffing out the likely policy error and in anticipation has push interest rates on long duration bonds lower than short duration bonds; a phenomenon known as an "inverted yield curve".

The most watching yield curve is between the 2-year bond and the 10-year bond, which ended the week 20 basis points (0.20%) inverted, the deepest inversion since the start of the century, even after the near record high inflation data.

Normally, high inflation is bad for bonds, but investors are running for the safety of cash-flow. As a result mortgage rates also declined, as the price of mortgage bonds rallied alongside US Treasuries.

Will this drop in mortgage rates continue, and will it be enough to keep housing from crashing along with the rest of the economy?


----------------------------------
CONNECT WITH JON
----------------------------------

To request a personalized mortgage consultation from Jon contact him through his website at http://JKUTS.com

You can also follow Jon on twitter at https://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda

or on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/JonKutsmeda

and on all other social media via his handle @JonKutsmeda.

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of the Mortgage Guru, please subscribe to my YouTube channel:
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

Welcome to the MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST, where your host Jon Kutsmeda covers the topics that matter most to homeowners and real estate investors without the industry jargon.

Each week Jon helps you to look under the hood of the housing market to make sense of the economic factors which drive home prices and mortgage rates so you can make sound financial decisions.

To subscribe to this podcast visit https://www.MortgageGuruPodcast.com



#inflation #recession #housingcrash

2 1

YouTube Video VVVQY09fV1pYS1FhMWxGd0NHbHRXYzhBLklsV3daYmRGOVRv
EPISODE 8: 
Bond markets were already giving up a portion of the previous week's big gains before a strong NFP Jobs Report sent the benchmark 10-year Treasury Bond firmly above 300 basis points, ending the week near 3.08%.

A strong labor market gives the Fed the all-clear for additional rate hikes, but with labor participation falling, and wages slowly creeping higher, the tight labor market could continue to keep inflation hot even while the economy shows signs of cooling.

This could mean the Fed will need to remain aggressive even after certain market sectors, such as housing, start to slide. 

The data clearly shows we are in a housing bubble even bigger than in 2006. Will Fed rate hikes be what finally pops this epic bubble, or has it already popped? Tune in to find out.


----------------------------------
CONNECT WITH JON
----------------------------------

To request a personalized mortgage consultation from Jon contact him through his website at http://JKUTS.com

You can also follow Jon on twitter at https://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda

or on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/JonKutsmeda

and on all other social media via his handle @JonKutsmeda.

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of the Mortgage Guru, please subscribe to my YouTube channel: 
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

Welcome to the MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST, where your host Jon Kutsmeda covers the topics that matter most to homeowners and real estate investors without the industry jargon.

Each week Jon helps you to look under the hood of the housing market to make sense of the economic factors which drive home prices and mortgage rates so you can make sound financial decisions.

To subscribe to this podcast visit https://www.MortgageGuruPodcast.com



#housingbubble #ratehikes #employment

EPISODE 8:
Bond markets were already giving up a portion of the previous week's big gains before a strong NFP Jobs Report sent the benchmark 10-year Treasury Bond firmly above 300 basis points, ending the week near 3.08%.

A strong labor market gives the Fed the all-clear for additional rate hikes, but with labor participation falling, and wages slowly creeping higher, the tight labor market could continue to keep inflation hot even while the economy shows signs of cooling.

This could mean the Fed will need to remain aggressive even after certain market sectors, such as housing, start to slide.

The data clearly shows we are in a housing bubble even bigger than in 2006. Will Fed rate hikes be what finally pops this epic bubble, or has it already popped? Tune in to find out.


----------------------------------
CONNECT WITH JON
----------------------------------

To request a personalized mortgage consultation from Jon contact him through his website at http://JKUTS.com

You can also follow Jon on twitter at https://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda

or on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/JonKutsmeda

and on all other social media via his handle @JonKutsmeda.

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of the Mortgage Guru, please subscribe to my YouTube channel:
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

Welcome to the MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST, where your host Jon Kutsmeda covers the topics that matter most to homeowners and real estate investors without the industry jargon.

Each week Jon helps you to look under the hood of the housing market to make sense of the economic factors which drive home prices and mortgage rates so you can make sound financial decisions.

To subscribe to this podcast visit https://www.MortgageGuruPodcast.com



#housingbubble #ratehikes #employment

1 0

YouTube Video VVVQY09fV1pYS1FhMWxGd0NHbHRXYzhBLnlsUE5jNGlmLVhZ
CLIP 1, EPISODE 4:
During this clip from episode 4 we discuss how the decentralized nature of crypto can lead to violent crashes.

In episode 4 of the podcast, recorded June 19, 2022, the Crypto Alpha Team welcomes special guest Hannah Jo Hamilton, an actuary and risk analyst at Genesis which is one of the world's largest digital asset lenders.

You can see the full episode by visiting the YouTube link below:
https://youtu.be/-rN47jv_zVw


-------------------------------
CONNECT WITH US
-------------------------------

You can connect with our guest Hannah Jo Hamilton on twitter at:
https://twitter.com/hannahjojo_

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of Crypto Alpha, please subscribe to my YouTube channel: 
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda

You can also follow @_CryptoAlpha on twitter at:
https://twitter.com/_CryptoAlpha

Visit our website to learn more about the crypto consulting services we offer: 
https://CryptoAlpha.com


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

CryptoAlpha.com presents the Crypto Alpha Podcast with Jon Kutsmeda, Andrew Reilly, and Brandon James.

Join us every week as we dive into the vast world of blockchain and cryptocurrencies to bring you the information that matters most, and an expert view from which all levels of experience can benefit.

More great episodes from the show are easily accessible in the Crypto Alpha Podcast playlist:
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLqTCxlpfL4TonIu15CQo6xY-5IFMUBLWP



#bailout #crypto #decentralized

CLIP 1, EPISODE 4:
During this clip from episode 4 we discuss how the decentralized nature of crypto can lead to violent crashes.

In episode 4 of the podcast, recorded June 19, 2022, the Crypto Alpha Team welcomes special guest Hannah Jo Hamilton, an actuary and risk analyst at Genesis which is one of the world's largest digital asset lenders.

You can see the full episode by visiting the YouTube link below:
https://youtu.be/-rN47jv_zVw


-------------------------------
CONNECT WITH US
-------------------------------

You can connect with our guest Hannah Jo Hamilton on twitter at:
https://twitter.com/hannahjojo_

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of Crypto Alpha, please subscribe to my YouTube channel:
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda

You can also follow @_CryptoAlpha on twitter at:
https://twitter.com/_CryptoAlpha

Visit our website to learn more about the crypto consulting services we offer:
https://CryptoAlpha.com


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

CryptoAlpha.com presents the Crypto Alpha Podcast with Jon Kutsmeda, Andrew Reilly, and Brandon James.

Join us every week as we dive into the vast world of blockchain and cryptocurrencies to bring you the information that matters most, and an expert view from which all levels of experience can benefit.

More great episodes from the show are easily accessible in the Crypto Alpha Podcast playlist:
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLqTCxlpfL4TonIu15CQo6xY-5IFMUBLWP



#bailout #crypto #decentralized

2 0

YouTube Video VVVQY09fV1pYS1FhMWxGd0NHbHRXYzhBLnpGRU5raTJqZE1R

THE MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST

CLIP 1, EPISODE 10: 
In this video I explain how mortgage rates DO NOT rise or fall.

Instead, what actually happens is mortgage rates become either more expensive or cheaper.

This is because mortgage rates, and their price, are derived from specific mortgage bond coupons.

Depending on a number of factors, bond investors will buy or sell certain coupons based on their price and yield (rate).

This liquidity, or capital inflow, to certain bonds is what makes mortgage rates more expensive or cheaper.

Learn more by listening in to this clip from the July 29, 2022 episode of the Mortgage Guru Podcast.


----------------------------------
CONNECT WITH JON
----------------------------------

To request a personalized mortgage consultation from Jon contact him through his website at http://JKUTS.com

You can also follow Jon on twitter at https://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda

or on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/JonKutsmeda

and on all other social media via his handle @JonKutsmeda.

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of the Mortgage Guru, please subscribe to my YouTube channel: 
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

Welcome to the MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST, where your host Jon Kutsmeda covers the topics that matter most to homeowners and real estate investors without the industry jargon.

Each week Jon helps you to look under the hood of the housing market to make sense of the economic factors which drive home prices and mortgage rates so you can make sound financial decisions.

To subscribe to this podcast visit https://www.MortgageGuruPodcast.com



#mortgagerates #refinance #bondmarket

CLIP 1, EPISODE 10:
In this video I explain how mortgage rates DO NOT rise or fall.

Instead, what actually happens is mortgage rates become either more expensive or cheaper.

This is because mortgage rates, and their price, are derived from specific mortgage bond coupons.

Depending on a number of factors, bond investors will buy or sell certain coupons based on their price and yield (rate).

This liquidity, or capital inflow, to certain bonds is what makes mortgage rates more expensive or cheaper.

Learn more by listening in to this clip from the July 29, 2022 episode of the Mortgage Guru Podcast.


----------------------------------
CONNECT WITH JON
----------------------------------

To request a personalized mortgage consultation from Jon contact him through his website at http://JKUTS.com

You can also follow Jon on twitter at https://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda

or on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/JonKutsmeda

and on all other social media via his handle @JonKutsmeda.

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of the Mortgage Guru, please subscribe to my YouTube channel:
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

Welcome to the MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST, where your host Jon Kutsmeda covers the topics that matter most to homeowners and real estate investors without the industry jargon.

Each week Jon helps you to look under the hood of the housing market to make sense of the economic factors which drive home prices and mortgage rates so you can make sound financial decisions.

To subscribe to this podcast visit https://www.MortgageGuruPodcast.com



#mortgagerates #refinance #bondmarket

4 0

YouTube Video UExxVEN4bHBmTDRUcDVJck95T2xleFFpQ0hvLUxaUWthSS4xMkVGQjNCMUM1N0RFNEUx
EPISODE 10: 
It was a jam-packed week with the FOMC rate decision and the first report on Q2 GDP.

The bond market rallied after the Fed raised the policy rate, the Fed Funds, by 75 basis points.

This brought the 10-year Treasury Bond below the 2.75% resistance level, ending the week right around 2.65%.

The yield curve has been inverted across different parts of the curve for months. This is a very strong predictor of recession and just prior to The Fed announcement the 2-year and the 10-year was inverted more than 30-bps.

Speaking of recession, an advance GDP report on Thursday showed the economy contracted again in quarter 2.

The -0.9% drop marks two consecutive quarters of negative GDP, which is considered an official recession.

After the rate hike announcement and the GDP report the ongoing bond market rally which started a month ago picked up further momentum and as a result mortgage rates dropped to the lowest level in nearly 3-months.

How can mortgage rates drop if the Fed is hiking rates?

Tune in for this week's episode to find out, and to hear an explainer on why mortgage rates do not actually drop but instead lower rates merely become less expensive.?



----------------------
TIMESTAMPS 
----------------------

00:25 - The Fed hikes the Fed Funds by 75 basis points

01:05 - What is the Fed Funds Rate

01:54 - The Fed's dual mandate

02:50 - Did the Fed cause high Inflation

05:35 - The supply chain bull whip effect

06:16 - When the only tool is a hammer (rate hikes)

07:00 - The impact of inflation

09:13 - How the bond market influences mortgage rates

09:59 - The mortgage rate data is lying

11:48 - How mortgage rates rise or fall (HINT: it's not the FED)

14:10 - What is really means to "Pay Points"

15:40 - Stop asking, "what is your rate"?

17:24 - Mortgages do not go up or down, instead they...

19:56 - Inflation as a rate-of-change

22:30 - What the current "risk off" bond rally means for mortgage rates

26:15 - The Fed hiking rates usually results in lower mortgage rates

28:57 - Are we in a recession?

30:30 - Keep a close eye on this piece of data

33:05 - Plan for the future, not for the present

34:41 - In conclusion


----------------------------------
CONNECT WITH JON
----------------------------------

To request a personalized mortgage consultation from Jon contact him through his website at http://JKUTS.com

You can also follow Jon on twitter at https://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda

or on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/JonKutsmeda

and on all other social media via his handle @JonKutsmeda.

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of the Mortgage Guru, please subscribe to my YouTube channel: 
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

Welcome to the MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST, where your host Jon Kutsmeda covers the topics that matter most to homeowners and real estate investors without the industry jargon.

Each week Jon helps you to look under the hood of the housing market to make sense of the economic factors which drive home prices and mortgage rates so you can make sound financial decisions.

To subscribe to this podcast visit https://www.MortgageGuruPodcast.com



#mortgagerates #ratehikes #recession

EPISODE 10:
It was a jam-packed week with the FOMC rate decision and the first report on Q2 GDP.

The bond market rallied after the Fed raised the policy rate, the Fed Funds, by 75 basis points.

This brought the 10-year Treasury Bond below the 2.75% resistance level, ending the week right around 2.65%.

The yield curve has been inverted across different parts of the curve for months. This is a very strong predictor of recession and just prior to The Fed announcement the 2-year and the 10-year was inverted more than 30-bps.

Speaking of recession, an advance GDP report on Thursday showed the economy contracted again in quarter 2.

The -0.9% drop marks two consecutive quarters of negative GDP, which is considered an official recession.

After the rate hike announcement and the GDP report the ongoing bond market rally which started a month ago picked up further momentum and as a result mortgage rates dropped to the lowest level in nearly 3-months.

How can mortgage rates drop if the Fed is hiking rates?

Tune in for this week's episode to find out, and to hear an explainer on why mortgage rates do not actually drop but instead lower rates merely become less expensive.?


----------------------------------
CONNECT WITH JON
----------------------------------

To request a personalized mortgage consultation from Jon contact him through his website at http://JKUTS.com

You can also follow Jon on twitter at https://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda

or on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/JonKutsmeda

and on all other social media via his handle @JonKutsmeda.

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of the Mortgage Guru, please subscribe to my YouTube channel:
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

Welcome to the MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST, where your host Jon Kutsmeda covers the topics that matter most to homeowners and real estate investors without the industry jargon.

Each week Jon helps you to look under the hood of the housing market to make sense of the economic factors which drive home prices and mortgage rates so you can make sound financial decisions.

To subscribe to this podcast visit https://www.MortgageGuruPodcast.com



#mortgagerates #ratehikes #recession

1 0

YouTube Video UExxVEN4bHBmTDRUcDVJck95T2xleFFpQ0hvLUxaUWthSS4wOTA3OTZBNzVEMTUzOTMy
EPISODE 9: 
The June CPI data came in red hot on Wednesday. The Consumer Price Index, a measure of inflation, reported an increase of 9.1%, the highest reading in 41-years.

As a result the Fed is likely to raise their benchmark Fed Funds Rate by 100 basis point (1%) when the FOMC meets July 26-27.

However, the CPI is a lagging indicator and according to forward looking data it appears the Fed will be aggressively hiking into a recession, which will likely deepen the recession and exacerbate its impact.

The market has been sniffing out the likely policy error and in anticipation has push interest rates on long duration bonds lower than short duration bonds; a phenomenon known as an "inverted yield curve".

The most watching yield curve is between the 2-year bond and the 10-year bond, which ended the week 20 basis points (0.20%) inverted, the deepest inversion since the start of the century, even after the near record high inflation data.

Normally, high inflation is bad for bonds, but investors are running for the safety of cash-flow. As a result mortgage rates also declined, as the price of mortgage bonds rallied alongside US Treasuries. 

Will this drop in mortgage rates continue, and will it be enough to keep housing from crashing along with the rest of the economy?


----------------------------------
CONNECT WITH JON
----------------------------------

To request a personalized mortgage consultation from Jon contact him through his website at http://JKUTS.com

You can also follow Jon on twitter at https://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda

or on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/JonKutsmeda

and on all other social media via his handle @JonKutsmeda.

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of the Mortgage Guru, please subscribe to my YouTube channel: 
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

Welcome to the MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST, where your host Jon Kutsmeda covers the topics that matter most to homeowners and real estate investors without the industry jargon.

Each week Jon helps you to look under the hood of the housing market to make sense of the economic factors which drive home prices and mortgage rates so you can make sound financial decisions.

To subscribe to this podcast visit https://www.MortgageGuruPodcast.com



#inflation #recession #housingcrash

EPISODE 9:
The June CPI data came in red hot on Wednesday. The Consumer Price Index, a measure of inflation, reported an increase of 9.1%, the highest reading in 41-years.

As a result the Fed is likely to raise their benchmark Fed Funds Rate by 100 basis point (1%) when the FOMC meets July 26-27.

However, the CPI is a lagging indicator and according to forward looking data it appears the Fed will be aggressively hiking into a recession, which will likely deepen the recession and exacerbate its impact.

The market has been sniffing out the likely policy error and in anticipation has push interest rates on long duration bonds lower than short duration bonds; a phenomenon known as an "inverted yield curve".

The most watching yield curve is between the 2-year bond and the 10-year bond, which ended the week 20 basis points (0.20%) inverted, the deepest inversion since the start of the century, even after the near record high inflation data.

Normally, high inflation is bad for bonds, but investors are running for the safety of cash-flow. As a result mortgage rates also declined, as the price of mortgage bonds rallied alongside US Treasuries.

Will this drop in mortgage rates continue, and will it be enough to keep housing from crashing along with the rest of the economy?


----------------------------------
CONNECT WITH JON
----------------------------------

To request a personalized mortgage consultation from Jon contact him through his website at http://JKUTS.com

You can also follow Jon on twitter at https://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda

or on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/JonKutsmeda

and on all other social media via his handle @JonKutsmeda.

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of the Mortgage Guru, please subscribe to my YouTube channel:
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

Welcome to the MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST, where your host Jon Kutsmeda covers the topics that matter most to homeowners and real estate investors without the industry jargon.

Each week Jon helps you to look under the hood of the housing market to make sense of the economic factors which drive home prices and mortgage rates so you can make sound financial decisions.

To subscribe to this podcast visit https://www.MortgageGuruPodcast.com



#inflation #recession #housingcrash

2 1

YouTube Video UExxVEN4bHBmTDRUcDVJck95T2xleFFpQ0hvLUxaUWthSS41MjE1MkI0OTQ2QzJGNzNG
EPISODE 8: 
Bond markets were already giving up a portion of the previous week's big gains before a strong NFP Jobs Report sent the benchmark 10-year Treasury Bond firmly above 300 basis points, ending the week near 3.08%.

A strong labor market gives the Fed the all-clear for additional rate hikes, but with labor participation falling, and wages slowly creeping higher, the tight labor market could continue to keep inflation hot even while the economy shows signs of cooling.

This could mean the Fed will need to remain aggressive even after certain market sectors, such as housing, start to slide. 

The data clearly shows we are in a housing bubble even bigger than in 2006. Will Fed rate hikes be what finally pops this epic bubble, or has it already popped? Tune in to find out.


----------------------------------
CONNECT WITH JON
----------------------------------

To request a personalized mortgage consultation from Jon contact him through his website at http://JKUTS.com

You can also follow Jon on twitter at https://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda

or on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/JonKutsmeda

and on all other social media via his handle @JonKutsmeda.

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of the Mortgage Guru, please subscribe to my YouTube channel: 
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

Welcome to the MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST, where your host Jon Kutsmeda covers the topics that matter most to homeowners and real estate investors without the industry jargon.

Each week Jon helps you to look under the hood of the housing market to make sense of the economic factors which drive home prices and mortgage rates so you can make sound financial decisions.

To subscribe to this podcast visit https://www.MortgageGuruPodcast.com



#housingbubble #ratehikes #employment

EPISODE 8:
Bond markets were already giving up a portion of the previous week's big gains before a strong NFP Jobs Report sent the benchmark 10-year Treasury Bond firmly above 300 basis points, ending the week near 3.08%.

A strong labor market gives the Fed the all-clear for additional rate hikes, but with labor participation falling, and wages slowly creeping higher, the tight labor market could continue to keep inflation hot even while the economy shows signs of cooling.

This could mean the Fed will need to remain aggressive even after certain market sectors, such as housing, start to slide.

The data clearly shows we are in a housing bubble even bigger than in 2006. Will Fed rate hikes be what finally pops this epic bubble, or has it already popped? Tune in to find out.


----------------------------------
CONNECT WITH JON
----------------------------------

To request a personalized mortgage consultation from Jon contact him through his website at http://JKUTS.com

You can also follow Jon on twitter at https://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda

or on Instagram at https://www.instagram.com/JonKutsmeda

and on all other social media via his handle @JonKutsmeda.

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of the Mortgage Guru, please subscribe to my YouTube channel:
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

Welcome to the MORTGAGE GURU PODCAST, where your host Jon Kutsmeda covers the topics that matter most to homeowners and real estate investors without the industry jargon.

Each week Jon helps you to look under the hood of the housing market to make sense of the economic factors which drive home prices and mortgage rates so you can make sound financial decisions.

To subscribe to this podcast visit https://www.MortgageGuruPodcast.com



#housingbubble #ratehikes #employment

1 0

YouTube Video UExxVEN4bHBmTDRUcDVJck95T2xleFFpQ0hvLUxaUWthSS4wMTcyMDhGQUE4NTIzM0Y5

THE MONEY MBA PODCAST

The Money MBA Podcast welcomes Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital back to the show for his second appearance, and the Money MBA's first repeat guest.

To check out the first interview, and to go deeper into Brent's "Dollar Milkshake Theory" which is foundational for what we discuss in this podcast, visit https://moneymba.com/ep-6-brent-johnson/

Brent is a valuable contributor to the finance space as he has the guts to share his views openly and confidently.

Although what I respect about Brent is he doesn't do it arrogantly. Yes, he is good at playing the antagonist in various Twitter conversations, but he's also the first to admit he doesn't have a crystal ball.

Brent, just like everyone else, is living in a world of infinite outcomes, and as a fiduciary his job is not to get married to a dogma, but to position his clients to take advantage of the outcomes with the highest probability.

For Brent, that highest probability outcome, is betting on a higher dollar before it's ultimate demise.

To paraphrase, a weaker dollar is exactly what the world wants, however a stronger dollar is what will ultimately be its undoing, but even then it won't give up the throne of global reserve currency without a "fight".

This of course is all part his "Dollar Milkshake Theory", so we get some updates on that view and dive deeper into where the current narratives about inflation and "money printer go brrrr" have got it wrong.


Visit http://www.MoneyMBA.com for access to a video recording of the interview and detailed show notes


Please SUBSCRIBE to the podcast at http://MoneyMBA.com/subscribe


Originally recorded February 09, 2021


GUEST DETAILS

Guest Name:
Brent Johnson


Professional Experience:
Santiago Capital (http://www.SantiagoCapital.com)


Social Media:
Twitter: @SantiagoAuFund (http://twitter.com/SantiagoAuFund)


HOST DETAILS

Host Name: 
Jon Kutsmeda

Professional Experience:
Jon Kutsmeda .com (http://JonKutsmeda.com)

Best Mortgage Rate (http://BestMortgageRate.com)

Money MBA Podcast (http://MoneyMBA.com)


Social Media:
Twitter: @JonKutsmeda (http://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda)

Instragram: @JonKutsmeda (http://instagram.com/JonKutsmeda)

Facebook: @JonKutsmeda (http://facebook.com/JonKutsmeda)

YouTube: @JonKutsmeda (http://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda)


SHOW NOTES

0:38 - Introducing the Brent 2.0 show

3:06 - FYI - We livestreamed the podcast on Clubhouse

5:09 - Quick recap of the "Dollar Milkshake Theory"


MORE SHOW NOTES AND TIME STAMPS TO COME...

The Money MBA Podcast welcomes Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital back to the show for his second appearance, and the Money MBA's first repeat guest.

To check out the first interview, and to go deeper into Brent's "Dollar Milkshake Theory" which is foundational for what we discuss in this podcast, visit https://moneymba.com/ep-6-brent-johnson/

Brent is a valuable contributor to the finance space as he has the guts to share his views openly and confidently.

Although what I respect about Brent is he doesn't do it arrogantly. Yes, he is good at playing the antagonist in various Twitter conversations, but he's also the first to admit he doesn't have a crystal ball.

Brent, just like everyone else, is living in a world of infinite outcomes, and as a fiduciary his job is not to get married to a dogma, but to position his clients to take advantage of the outcomes with the highest probability.

For Brent, that highest probability outcome, is betting on a higher dollar before it's ultimate demise.

To paraphrase, a weaker dollar is exactly what the world wants, however a stronger dollar is what will ultimately be its undoing, but even then it won't give up the throne of global reserve currency without a "fight".

This of course is all part his "Dollar Milkshake Theory", so we get some updates on that view and dive deeper into where the current narratives about inflation and "money printer go brrrr" have got it wrong.


Visit http://www.MoneyMBA.com for access to a video recording of the interview and detailed show notes


Please SUBSCRIBE to the podcast at http://MoneyMBA.com/subscribe


Originally recorded February 09, 2021


GUEST DETAILS

Guest Name:
Brent Johnson


Professional Experience:
Santiago Capital (http://www.SantiagoCapital.com)


Social Media:
Twitter: @SantiagoAuFund (http://twitter.com/SantiagoAuFund)


HOST DETAILS

Host Name:
Jon Kutsmeda

Professional Experience:
Jon Kutsmeda .com (http://JonKutsmeda.com)

Best Mortgage Rate (http://BestMortgageRate.com)

Money MBA Podcast (http://MoneyMBA.com)


Social Media:
Twitter: @JonKutsmeda (http://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda)

Instragram: @JonKutsmeda (http://instagram.com/JonKutsmeda)

Facebook: @JonKutsmeda (http://facebook.com/JonKutsmeda)

YouTube: @JonKutsmeda (http://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda)


SHOW NOTES

0:38 - Introducing the Brent 2.0 show

3:06 - FYI - We livestreamed the podcast on Clubhouse

5:09 - Quick recap of the "Dollar Milkshake Theory"


MORE SHOW NOTES AND TIME STAMPS TO COME...

37 12

YouTube Video UExxVEN4bHBmTDRUcXBOS0dCcUl5UUZNNGtYUzA0cFFteS4yMUQyQTQzMjRDNzMyQTMy
The Money MBA Podcast welcomes Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital to the show.

Visit http://www.MoneyMBA.com for access to a video recording of the interview and detailed show notes


Please SUBSCRIBE to the podcast at http://MoneyMBA.com/subscribe


Originally recorded October 16, 2019


GUEST DETAILS

Guest Name:
Brent Johnson


Professional Experience:
Santiago Capital (http://www.SantiagoCapital.com)


Social Media:
Twitter: @SantiagoAuFund (http://twitter.com/SantiagoAuFund)


HOST DETAILS

Host Name: 
Jon Kutsmeda

Professional Experience:
Best Mortgage Rate (http://BestMortgageRate.com)

Jon Kutsmeda .com (http://JonKutsmeda.com)

Airbnb Financing (http://AirbnbFinancing.com)

Money MBA Podcast (http://MoneyMBA.com)


Social Media:
Twitter: @JonKutsmeda (http://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda)

Instragram: @JonKutsmeda (http://instagram.com/JonKutsmeda)

Facebook: @JonKutsmeda (http://facebook.com/JonKutsmeda)

YouTube: @JonKutsmeda (http://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda)


SHOW NOTES

2:17 - Who is Brent Johnson

3:30 - Dot Com Bubble and Tech start-ups

5:38 - Living in San Francisco

6:24 - Brent’s thoughts on the financial crisis (Spy Game)

8:05 - Exposing the hypocrisy of Wall Street

11:50 - What is Santiago Capital

13:03 - The dollar story

15:29 - Triffin’s Dilemma

18:27 - The Dollar Milkshake Theory Ch. 1 - There will be blood

23:18 - The Dollar Milkshake Theory Ch. 2 - The Highlander

25:10 - The Dollar Milkshake Theory Ch. 3 - The Prestige

28:48 - Are central banks clueless?

30:38 - What’s wrong with the US repo markets

32:40 - What the spike in US repo rate means for the dollar milkshake

35:29 - A “new” plaza accord

36:37 - Is the big reset coming

38:47 - Everyone is still in the game

41:15 - Goodbye austerity, hello deficits

42:49 - Who controls monetary policy, central bankers or politicians

46:00 - The risk of the “risk free” rate

47:37 - A sovereign crisis - what happens if the Milkshake theory is correct

49:30 - The two best assets to own for the next 5 years

53:28 - How to trade the Dollar Milkshake Theory

57:02 - Hong Kong dollar peg

58:58 - Bitcoin and Crypto-currency

1:01:16 - The Milkshake Theory Conclusion

1:02:34 - Fiat will never die

1:05:25 - Year-end predictions - “November will be a big month.”

The Money MBA Podcast welcomes Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital to the show.

Visit http://www.MoneyMBA.com for access to a video recording of the interview and detailed show notes


Please SUBSCRIBE to the podcast at http://MoneyMBA.com/subscribe


Originally recorded October 16, 2019


GUEST DETAILS

Guest Name:
Brent Johnson


Professional Experience:
Santiago Capital (http://www.SantiagoCapital.com)


Social Media:
Twitter: @SantiagoAuFund (http://twitter.com/SantiagoAuFund)


HOST DETAILS

Host Name:
Jon Kutsmeda

Professional Experience:
Best Mortgage Rate (http://BestMortgageRate.com)

Jon Kutsmeda .com (http://JonKutsmeda.com)

Airbnb Financing (http://AirbnbFinancing.com)

Money MBA Podcast (http://MoneyMBA.com)


Social Media:
Twitter: @JonKutsmeda (http://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda)

Instragram: @JonKutsmeda (http://instagram.com/JonKutsmeda)

Facebook: @JonKutsmeda (http://facebook.com/JonKutsmeda)

YouTube: @JonKutsmeda (http://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda)


SHOW NOTES

2:17 - Who is Brent Johnson

3:30 - Dot Com Bubble and Tech start-ups

5:38 - Living in San Francisco

6:24 - Brent’s thoughts on the financial crisis (Spy Game)

8:05 - Exposing the hypocrisy of Wall Street

11:50 - What is Santiago Capital

13:03 - The dollar story

15:29 - Triffin’s Dilemma

18:27 - The Dollar Milkshake Theory Ch. 1 - There will be blood

23:18 - The Dollar Milkshake Theory Ch. 2 - The Highlander

25:10 - The Dollar Milkshake Theory Ch. 3 - The Prestige

28:48 - Are central banks clueless?

30:38 - What’s wrong with the US repo markets

32:40 - What the spike in US repo rate means for the dollar milkshake

35:29 - A “new” plaza accord

36:37 - Is the big reset coming

38:47 - Everyone is still in the game

41:15 - Goodbye austerity, hello deficits

42:49 - Who controls monetary policy, central bankers or politicians

46:00 - The risk of the “risk free” rate

47:37 - A sovereign crisis - what happens if the Milkshake theory is correct

49:30 - The two best assets to own for the next 5 years

53:28 - How to trade the Dollar Milkshake Theory

57:02 - Hong Kong dollar peg

58:58 - Bitcoin and Crypto-currency

1:01:16 - The Milkshake Theory Conclusion

1:02:34 - Fiat will never die

1:05:25 - Year-end predictions - “November will be a big month.”

24 1

YouTube Video UExxVEN4bHBmTDRUcXBOS0dCcUl5UUZNNGtYUzA0cFFteS5GNjNDRDREMDQxOThCMDQ2
The Money MBA Podcast welcomes Raoul Pal to the show.

Raoul is the CEO of Real Vision, an on-demand video service often referred to as the “Netflix” of finance and investing.

Raoul shares his coming up story as an entrepreneur which includes his early days as the secret adviser to some of the world’s biggest hedge funds.

Raoul might also be the original “Travel Blogger” as you’ll learn more about in this interview.

We discuss his “End Game” article which was once considered the biggest financial article in the history of the internet … and eventually led to the genesis of Real Vision.

What makes this interview unique is that we get to hear the untold story of Raoul’s journey as an entrepreneur.

There is plenty of great investment takeaway’s, but if you want to hear what it’s like to launch a multi-million dollar business with ZERO industry experience, then buckle-up, because Raoul’s journey gets a little bumpy and is something every entrepreneur needs to hear.

Raoul Pal is very active on twitter where he shares his thoughts and ideas on markets under the avatar @RaoulGMI.

Please SUBSCRIBE to the podcast at http://MoneyMBA.com/subscribe

Originally recorded July 3, 2019


GUEST DETAILS

Guest Name:
Raoul Pal

Professional Experience:
Global Macro Investor

Real Vision TV (http://RealVision.com)

Social Media:
Twitter: @RaoulGMI (http://twitter.com/RaoulGMI)

 
HOST DETAILS

Host Name: 
Jon Kutsmeda

Professional Experience:
Best Mortgage Rate (http://BestMortgageRate.com)

No Cost VA Loans (http://NoCostVALoans.com)

Airbnb Financing (http://AirbnbFinancing.com)

Money MBA Podcast (http://MoneyMBA.com)

Social Media:
Twitter: @JonKutsmeda (http://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda)

Instragram: @JonKutsmeda (http://instagram.com/JonKutsmeda)

Facebook: @JonKutsmeda (http://facebook.com/JonKutsmeda)

YouTube: @JonKutsmeda (http://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda)


SHOW NOTES

2:15 – Who is Raoul Pal
 
3:27 – How Raoul got started in finance and investing
 
5:02 – Box of rejection letters
 
7:49 – 30-year detour to becoming an entrepreneur; Treat everything like an entrepreneur
 
10:21 – The “James Bond” mystery persona and life as the original travel blogger
 
12:13 – “The End Game”
 
13:53 – The genesis of Real Vision TV.
 
15:06 – Twitter and Fin-twit. “The way to crowdsource intelligence”.
 
20:03 – Guru’s don’t exist … and there are no shortcuts.
 
20:38 – An idea is born, how Real Vision started.
 
25:23 – Flushing $1 million down the drain
 
26:51 – The “F this” moments
 
29:35 – The reality versus perception of being an entrepreneur
 
30:58 – Advice to future entrepreneurs
Book recommendation: The Hard Thing About Hard Things, by Ben Horowitz)
https://amzn.to/2YLMz9e
 
33:03 – Trying to keep everyone happy as an entrepreneur (and at Real Vision)
 
35:53 – Real Vision ethos
 
37:33 – Do you really own anything? The truth about the financial system
 
40:29 – Monetary policy has failed; Preparing for the end game
 
42:50 – The Parallel Financial Universe
 
47:26 – “Plan B” model for valuing Bitcoin
 
48:53 – Bitcoin or Gold in the event of an “End Game” scenario
 
49:20 – Raoul’s favorite Real Vision interviews
 
53:17 – The degrees of separation
 
55:18 – What’s next for Raoul and Real Vision
 
58:25 – What makes Real Vision extraordinary
 
59:51 – More advice for entrepreneurs
 
1:04:10 – How to contact Raoul and get access to Real Vision
 
1:05:39 – Anchoring and the insane value proposition of Real Vision
 
1:06:29 – Jon and Raoul’s plea to everyone – No one has an excuse to play ignorant


Please SUBSCRIBE to the podcast at http://MoneyMBA.com/subscribe

The Money MBA Podcast welcomes Raoul Pal to the show.

Raoul is the CEO of Real Vision, an on-demand video service often referred to as the “Netflix” of finance and investing.

Raoul shares his coming up story as an entrepreneur which includes his early days as the secret adviser to some of the world’s biggest hedge funds.

Raoul might also be the original “Travel Blogger” as you’ll learn more about in this interview.

We discuss his “End Game” article which was once considered the biggest financial article in the history of the internet … and eventually led to the genesis of Real Vision.

What makes this interview unique is that we get to hear the untold story of Raoul’s journey as an entrepreneur.

There is plenty of great investment takeaway’s, but if you want to hear what it’s like to launch a multi-million dollar business with ZERO industry experience, then buckle-up, because Raoul’s journey gets a little bumpy and is something every entrepreneur needs to hear.

Raoul Pal is very active on twitter where he shares his thoughts and ideas on markets under the avatar @RaoulGMI.

Please SUBSCRIBE to the podcast at http://MoneyMBA.com/subscribe

Originally recorded July 3, 2019


GUEST DETAILS

Guest Name:
Raoul Pal

Professional Experience:
Global Macro Investor

Real Vision TV (http://RealVision.com)

Social Media:
Twitter: @RaoulGMI (http://twitter.com/RaoulGMI)


HOST DETAILS

Host Name:
Jon Kutsmeda

Professional Experience:
Best Mortgage Rate (http://BestMortgageRate.com)

No Cost VA Loans (http://NoCostVALoans.com)

Airbnb Financing (http://AirbnbFinancing.com)

Money MBA Podcast (http://MoneyMBA.com)

Social Media:
Twitter: @JonKutsmeda (http://twitter.com/JonKutsmeda)

Instragram: @JonKutsmeda (http://instagram.com/JonKutsmeda)

Facebook: @JonKutsmeda (http://facebook.com/JonKutsmeda)

YouTube: @JonKutsmeda (http://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda)


SHOW NOTES

2:15 – Who is Raoul Pal

3:27 – How Raoul got started in finance and investing

5:02 – Box of rejection letters

7:49 – 30-year detour to becoming an entrepreneur; Treat everything like an entrepreneur

10:21 – The “James Bond” mystery persona and life as the original travel blogger

12:13 – “The End Game”

13:53 – The genesis of Real Vision TV.

15:06 – Twitter and Fin-twit. “The way to crowdsource intelligence”.

20:03 – Guru’s don’t exist … and there are no shortcuts.

20:38 – An idea is born, how Real Vision started.

25:23 – Flushing $1 million down the drain

26:51 – The “F this” moments

29:35 – The reality versus perception of being an entrepreneur

30:58 – Advice to future entrepreneurs
Book recommendation: The Hard Thing About Hard Things, by Ben Horowitz)
https://amzn.to/2YLMz9e

33:03 – Trying to keep everyone happy as an entrepreneur (and at Real Vision)

35:53 – Real Vision ethos

37:33 – Do you really own anything? The truth about the financial system

40:29 – Monetary policy has failed; Preparing for the end game

42:50 – The Parallel Financial Universe

47:26 – “Plan B” model for valuing Bitcoin

48:53 – Bitcoin or Gold in the event of an “End Game” scenario

49:20 – Raoul’s favorite Real Vision interviews

53:17 – The degrees of separation

55:18 – What’s next for Raoul and Real Vision

58:25 – What makes Real Vision extraordinary

59:51 – More advice for entrepreneurs

1:04:10 – How to contact Raoul and get access to Real Vision

1:05:39 – Anchoring and the insane value proposition of Real Vision

1:06:29 – Jon and Raoul’s plea to everyone – No one has an excuse to play ignorant


Please SUBSCRIBE to the podcast at http://MoneyMBA.com/subscribe

2 0

YouTube Video UExxVEN4bHBmTDRUcXBOS0dCcUl5UUZNNGtYUzA0cFFteS4yODlGNEE0NkRGMEEzMEQy

THE CRYPTO ALPHA PODCAST

CLIP 1, EPISODE 4:
During this clip from episode 4 we discuss how the decentralized nature of crypto can lead to violent crashes.

In episode 4 of the podcast, recorded June 19, 2022, the Crypto Alpha Team welcomes special guest Hannah Jo Hamilton, an actuary and risk analyst at Genesis which is one of the world's largest digital asset lenders.

You can see the full episode by visiting the YouTube link below:
https://youtu.be/-rN47jv_zVw


-------------------------------
CONNECT WITH US
-------------------------------

You can connect with our guest Hannah Jo Hamilton on twitter at:
https://twitter.com/hannahjojo_

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of Crypto Alpha, please subscribe to my YouTube channel: 
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda

You can also follow @_CryptoAlpha on twitter at:
https://twitter.com/_CryptoAlpha

Visit our website to learn more about the crypto consulting services we offer: 
https://CryptoAlpha.com


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

CryptoAlpha.com presents the Crypto Alpha Podcast with Jon Kutsmeda, Andrew Reilly, and Brandon James.

Join us every week as we dive into the vast world of blockchain and cryptocurrencies to bring you the information that matters most, and an expert view from which all levels of experience can benefit.

More great episodes from the show are easily accessible in the Crypto Alpha Podcast playlist:
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLqTCxlpfL4TonIu15CQo6xY-5IFMUBLWP



#bailout #crypto #decentralized

CLIP 1, EPISODE 4:
During this clip from episode 4 we discuss how the decentralized nature of crypto can lead to violent crashes.

In episode 4 of the podcast, recorded June 19, 2022, the Crypto Alpha Team welcomes special guest Hannah Jo Hamilton, an actuary and risk analyst at Genesis which is one of the world's largest digital asset lenders.

You can see the full episode by visiting the YouTube link below:
https://youtu.be/-rN47jv_zVw


-------------------------------
CONNECT WITH US
-------------------------------

You can connect with our guest Hannah Jo Hamilton on twitter at:
https://twitter.com/hannahjojo_

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of Crypto Alpha, please subscribe to my YouTube channel:
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda

You can also follow @_CryptoAlpha on twitter at:
https://twitter.com/_CryptoAlpha

Visit our website to learn more about the crypto consulting services we offer:
https://CryptoAlpha.com


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

CryptoAlpha.com presents the Crypto Alpha Podcast with Jon Kutsmeda, Andrew Reilly, and Brandon James.

Join us every week as we dive into the vast world of blockchain and cryptocurrencies to bring you the information that matters most, and an expert view from which all levels of experience can benefit.

More great episodes from the show are easily accessible in the Crypto Alpha Podcast playlist:
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLqTCxlpfL4TonIu15CQo6xY-5IFMUBLWP



#bailout #crypto #decentralized

2 0

YouTube Video UExxVEN4bHBmTDRUb25JdTE1Q1FvNnhZLTVJRk1VQkxXUC5DQUNERDQ2NkIzRUQxNTY1
EPISODE 4:
In this episode, recorded June 19, 2022, the Crypto Alpha Team welcomes special guest Hannah Jo Hamilton, an actuary and risk analyst at Genesis which is one of the world's largest digital asset lenders.

This episode is longer than usual as we pick Hannah's brain across a variety of topics, with a focus on counterparty risks and the ongoing contagion from the Terra Luna and UST implosion. 

You definitely want to tune in before you think about buying the dip.

----------------------
TIMESTAMPS 
----------------------

1:00 - Welcoming Hannah Jo Hamilton to the podcast

2:00 - Hannah’s background as an actuary, crypto enthusiast, and DeFi analyst

3:30 - What is an actuary?

6:46 - What is counter-party risk?

11:00 - Inflation, the benefit of an elastic money supply in a market crash, and the moral hazard of bailing out investors.

22:09 - Thought Experiment: What if the coordinated attack of Luna and UST did not happen.

28:13 - The Fed has blood on their hands

36:16 - (Brandon) When will DeFi takeover and just be known as “finance”, plus the important role regulation will play.

45:29 - (Brandon) How DeFi can evolve to hedge against sharp downturns and counter-party risk in the future.

52:29 - (Andrew) Sounding the alarm on Celsius

58:16 - How to assess or value a project when no one else has yet, and the qualitative importance of “the team” leading a project.

1:06:38 - Is this the bottom or is a crypto winter ahead?


-------------------------------
CONNECT WITH US
-------------------------------

You can connect with our guest Hannah Jo Hamilton on twitter at:
https://twitter.com/hannahjojo_

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of Crypto Alpha, please subscribe to my YouTube channel: 
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda

You can also follow @_CryptoAlpha on twitter at:
https://twitter.com/_CryptoAlpha

Visit our website to learn more about the crypto consulting services we offer: 
https://CryptoAlpha.com


----------------------
LEARN MORE
----------------------

CryptoAlpha.com presents the Crypto Alpha Podcast with Jon Kutsmeda, Andrew Reilly, and Brandon James.

Join us every week as we dive into the vast world of blockchain and cryptocurrencies to bring you the information that matters most, and an expert view from which all levels of experience can benefit.

More great episodes from the show are easily accessible in the Crypto Alpha Podcast playlist:
https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLqTCxlpfL4TonIu15CQo6xY-5IFMUBLWP



#defi #crypto #riskmanagement

CryptoAlpha.com presents the Crypto Alpha Podcast with Jon Kutsmeda, Andrew Reilly, and Brandon James.

Join us every week as we dive into the vast world of blockchain and cryptocurrencies to bring you the information that matters most, and an expert view from which all levels of experience can benefit.

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EPISODE 4
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In episode 4 of the podcast, recorded June 19, 2022, the Crypto Alpha Team welcomes special guest Hannah Jo Hamilton, an actuary and risk analyst at Genesis which is one of the world's largest digital asset lenders.

This episode is longer than usual as we pick Hannah's brain across a variety of topics, with a focus on counterparty risks and the ongoing contagion from the Terra Luna and UST implosion.

You definitely want to tune in before you think about buying the dip.

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TIMESTAMPS
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1:00 - Welcoming Hannah Jo Hamilton to the podcast

2:00 - Hannah’s background as an actuary, crypto enthusiast, and DeFi analyst

3:30 - What is an actuary?

6:46 - What is counter-party risk?

11:00 - Inflation, the benefit of an elastic money supply in a market crash, and the moral hazard of bailing out investors.

22:09 - Thought Experiment: What if the coordinated attack of Luna and UST did not happen.

28:13 - The Fed has blood on their hands

36:16 - (Brandon) When will DeFi takeover and just be known as “finance”, plus the important role regulation will play.

45:29 - (Brandon) How DeFi can evolve to hedge against sharp downturns and counter-party risk in the future.

52:29 - (Andrew) Sounding the alarm on Celsius

58:16 - How to assess or value a project when no one else has yet, and the qualitative importance of “the team” leading a project.

1:06:38 - Is this the bottom or is a crypto winter ahead?


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LEARN MORE
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You can connect with our guest Hannah Jo Hamilton on twitter at:
https://twitter.com/hannahjojo_

To make sure you always get your weekly dose of Crypto Alpha, please subscribe to my YouTube channel:
https://youtube.com/user/JonKutsmeda

You can also follow @_CryptoAlpha on twitter at:
https://twitter.com/_CryptoAlpha

Visit our website to learn more about the crypto consulting services we offer:
https://CryptoAlpha.com


#defi #crypto #riskmanagement

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